This is the second part of a two part post. Yesterday, I discussed the movement from synchronous, broadcast television towards asynchronous, “on demand” television. I described a continuum between broadcast TV before the VCR (where if you didn’t watch a show when it aired, you didn’t see it) to a completely asynchronous model. Today, it is that second extreme that I want to discuss.
For the record, no one knows what the second extreme looks like, all anyone can offer is an educated guess. We’re standing in one of those interesting places in the evolution of a technology where our direction is clear (moving towards asynchronous television) but what the final outcome will be is not. Your guess is as good as mine here, so I’d love to see it in the comments.
The world I envision where when people consume television is dictated by the following:
One of the interesting things about this is that it would not require television shows be any particular length, as they would not need to fit in a broadcast schedule. In the world I envision that would lead to the following changes:
Lastly, the release schedule of shows will be far less formal. Since many (or probably most) people will be receiving television in an entirely asynchronous manner, there will not be any pressure on TV companies to outline a programming schedule that lasts months in to the future. In the world I envision this will lead to the following changes:
That’s what I see when I look in the crystal ball, what do you think?